The whole Brexit debate has already polarised the country but while I’ve been writing my dystopian prequel to WHEN THE WELL RUNS DRY, I’ve been wondering about what’s the worse thing that could happen, how bad could it get?
Regardless of who wins the General Election on December 12th, we could be in for a rough ride. If Labour wins and organises a second referendum we could see a rash of right wing riots which have already been promised by Boris Johnson in a remark reminiscent of the National Socialists in Germany in the 1930s. Corbyn himself was in favour of leaving the EU and there is no guarantee that the peoples vote would not end in the same result, with the UK leaving the EU, albeit perhaps within the customs union.
The negative effect on the UK economy, combined with excessive divorce payments to the EU could see widespread disatisfaction with whatever government is in power. If you combine this with fake news campaigns promoted by foreign powers, the increasing number of refugees that will inevitably attempt to enter the country, the increasing failure of infrastructure to deal with the demands of climate change and the rising costs of the effects of climate change and a potentially volatile situation could develop. We also might see Svotland demand devolution and regions like the north demanding not just a manifesto but their own assemblies. Could we see a complete break up of the union with Northern Ireland ceded to avoid being the wrong side of the border and igniting further troubles Could that be the last nail in the coffin for the monarchy?
Both of the major parties have promised huge spending programmes. The Conservative plans don’t return the UK to pre 2010 levels and both parties ignore the national defecit which apparently doesn’t matter any more. Labour plans to use a method is measuring investment which has never been used in a major economy.
Let’s take the pessimistic view of the possible outcomes. Widespread discontentment leaves the path open for the right wing to promise a return to a golden era which never really existed. We have seen this already in the first Brexit votes and in the presidential elections in the US and Brazil where nationalism is thinly disquised as patriotism and used as an excuse to implement right wing policies.
The population can so easily be manipulated as was cleverly demonstrated in the Netflix documentary, The Great Hack. And with social media giants so far refusing to apply their fact checking software to political ads or to ban micro targetted political ads altogether, the stage is set for more election interference.
And why are so many leading politicians so eager to leave the EU so quickly? I would recomend watching the film, The Laundromat, also on Netflix, in which a stella cast explains the system of tax avoidance. The EU intends to implement tighter laws which would prevent the rich from using offshore shell companies to avoid paying tax. So it should come as no surprise then that leading Brexit campaigner and CEO of fracking company Ineos is planning to live in Monaco to avoid paying £4bn in tax in the UK which could be used for hospitals, schools, public transport and policing. Why to we listen to people that only have the good their own pockets in mind, rather than the good of the country.
Make sure you vote on December 12th and vote for the good of the country not the good of the rich.