#82 Watching the Brazilian Presidential election


As I write, the far right candidate for the Brazilian presidency, Jair Bolsonaro, came knicker grippingly close to winning the presidency in the first round.

The way the system works in Brazil, if a candidate does not achieve 50% plus one vote in the first round then there is a second round contested by the two candidates who received the most votes.

At this moment, Bolsonaro has roughly 46% of the vote and is therefore likely to need to contest a second round against the second place candidate, Fernando Haddad of the PT party.

Four years ago, Dilma Rousseff of PT narrowly won the second round vote against Aecio Neves of PSDB. The country was divided by the result into left and right with the right succeeding in impeaching Rousseff and sending her PT predecessor President Lula to prison on corruption charges.

The desire of the right to rid themself of a PT has been so strong that it has led to the meteoric rise in populularity of the extreme right wing candidate, Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro has been heavily criticised by the left for his allegedly homophobic and misogynist comments. These views were clear in an interview he once conducted with Stephen Fry.

When Rousseff was impeached she was replaced by her Vice President, Michel Temer from PMDB. At the time, the left wing used the hashtag #foratemer meaning ‘Temer Out!’ to express their disgust at what they saw as effectively a coup by the right wing.

Now, the left wing are so disappointed with how close Bolsonaro has come to winning in the first round that they have started to use the hashtag #ficatemer,  or ‘Temer Stay!’ as an ironic expression to say that no matter how bad they thought things were under Temer, the situation under Bolsonaro is undoubtedly going to be worse.

The concern among some is that if Haddad narrowly wins the second round which is expected to be tight,  that the right wing will refuse to recognise the result and may ask the military to intervene.

Recent research found that three quarters of Brazilians think democracy is the best form of government,  the highest approval since the end of the dictatorship but that still leaves a quarter who don’t support democracy.

The last election caused a great deal of animosity between Brazilians. If animosity is the worse the country suffers this time it will be considered a relief.






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#81 Nature or Nurture


My second novel, The Astonishing Anniversaries of James and David: Part One, is all about twins growing up in East Yorkshire whose futures take very different paths.

The Story was partly inspired by Willy Russell’s Blood Brothers. In Russell’s musical, twins are separated at birth. One is raised by their mother in a poor area of Liverpool but she gives the other boy to her rich, childless employer.

Russell wrote the play in Thatcherite Britain, he was trying to show that nuture, the environment in which a child is raised, can have a significant effect on the opportunities the child is presented with and therefore how successful that child will ultimately become.

My own novel looks at the issue of nature. My premise was that, as a result of chemicals in the brain, people are born either predominantly happy and satisfied with their lot in life or their default setting is unhappy dissatisfaction with their experience.

I based this hypothesis on observations that people whose equilibrium is happy might suffer setbacks like the death of a loved one, illness or loss of limb but they make the best of it and sooner or later they will rediscover their default happy mood.

People born with their glass half empty will return to this pessimistic position no matter what happens to them. They could even win the lottery but sooner or later they will find themselves back at their default position where they are dissatisfied with life.

I do believe it is possible to change this default position and I think a child’s environment, especially during the formative years can have a significant effect at determining whether a child grows up to be a satisfied or dissatisfied adult.

Later in life I think it is much more difficult to shift this default position to more happy, I’m not sure why anyone would want to shift it the other way. However, I do think it is possible and techniques like meditation have a very important role in retraining the brain.

What do you think? Do you agree with my hypothesis?  Do you know of any research which has attempted to investigate this issue? If so, let me know by posting a comment below.

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#80 Celebrating Brazil’s Independence


On September 7th every year, the people of Brazil get a day off. Well, most of them. The buses and metro in Sao Paulo keep running and most of the restaurants and shops seem to be open but I get a holiday so that’s the main thing.

This year we thought we would actually celebrate Independence Day and went down to Parque Independência where the University of São Paulo and SESC, a network of arts and leisure centres, had organised a day of events which culminated in a performance from the excellent USP Orchestra and Choir.


The Museum itself is currently closed due to the fact that it requires structural work to make it safe. It is due to re-open in 2022 if no-one burns it down before then. The Museum in Rio was recently burned down as was the Museum of the Portuguese language in Sao Paulo.

With the presidential election coming up in October there were plenty of people around handing out flyers and waving banners for their preferred candidates.

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The day before, one of the most controversial of the presidential candidates, Jair Bolsonaro, was stabbed. He is known for his far right views, including sympathy for military dictatorship (he was an army captain), and was filmed being abusive to female journalists. Ironically, the stabbing by a supporter of the left-wing, might actually have boosted Bolsonaro’s chances, at least in the first round. With two other presidential candidates having recently faced new accusations of corruption and the Brazilian Workers Party (PT) trying to run a campaign for ex-President Lula despite the fact he has been ruled ineligible on the grounds that he is serving a prison sentence for corruption, many Brazilians feel they are not exactly spoilt for choice.

Perhaps the left-wing supporter who stabbed Bolsonaro took Dom Pedro’s shout on 7th September 1822 of “Independence or Death!” a little too literally but let’s hope the rest of the campaign of fought more peacefully.

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#79 wondering what will happen when the world’s resources become scarce


The global scarcity of vital resources combined with the emerging effects of climate change has the potential to unleash a tidal wave of civil unrest and conflict between nations.

The inevitable wave of refugees and the resulting backlash from communities in resource rich countries is likely to eclipse current anti-immigration sentiment and will accentuate the current trend of electing right-wing governments who promise to defend our borders against the unwanted at all cost.

The production of oil, a finite resource, will inevitably decline with alternative sources of energy unable to fulfill an ever-increasing demand of an increasing, energy hungry global population.

Even if renewable energy was able to replace gossip fuels it wouldn’t be able to do so for long. This is because of the scarcity of rare metals used in the production of renewable technologies. In the dystopian future of WHEN THE WORLD RUNS DRY there is very little in the way of renewable technologies because of the inability to find the materials to build or repair these technologies.

Lack of freshwater could soon lead to conflicts between or within nations and there are already those who view the Syrian conflict as an example of a conflict fueled by water shortage.

Earth has lost a third of its arable land over the last 40 years and the need to feed increasing populations will excert increasing pressure on countries needing more arable land than they currently possess. For many years there have been fears of Chinese land grabs, most notably in Africa.  The most recent Chinese land grab scare has been in France.

The important thing to remember is that absolute scarcity does not need to be on the horizon, a simple disruption of supply is enough to cause conflict. In the recent truck drivers strike in Brazil, day one saw queues at petrol stations and within 24 hours people were cyphoning fuel out of each other’s tanks. Society is covered in only a very thin film of civility.

Mass extinction is likely to result in shortages of certain foods and as demand exceeds supply, societies will experience shortages of a range of products.

The International Energy Agency claims that the demand for oil in 2035 can only be met by supplies yet to be ‘found’ or ‘developed’. However, other analysts feel this target will never be reached as a result of environmental opposition,  corruption and conflicts, leaving the world with a shortage of supply.

In his book Constant Battles, Steven LeBlanc, director of collections for Harvard’s Peabody Museum of Archaeology and Ethnology, notes that many ancient civilizations experienced higher levels of warfare when faced with resource shortages brought about by population growth, crop failures or persistent drought. Jared Diamond, author of the bestseller Collapse, has detected a similar pattern in Mayan civilization and the Anasazi culture of New Mexico’s Chaco Canyon. More recently, concern over adequate food for the home population was a significant factor in Japan’s invasion of Manchuria in 1931 and Germany’s invasions of Poland in 1939 and the Soviet Union in 1941, according to Lizzie Collingham, author of The Taste of War.

My own book, When The Well Runs Dry, looks at what life in a resource scarce society might look like and what challenges the occupants might face. I would be interested to hear your opinions and have set up a Facebook Group to discuss the possibilities explored in the book. I hope to see you there.

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#78 Running a Facebook Live Q&A Session

facebook live

If you missed my Facebook Live Q&A session you can still see it here.


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#77 Running a launch competition

launch comp

When the Well Runs Dry has been launched today.

It is available now at a special launch price of $2.99 (or equivalent worldwide). You can find the book on Amazon.comAmazon.co.ukKoboGoogle PlayiBooksNook on Barnes and Noble and all major online retailers.

If you do decide to get a copy of the book then please leave me an honest review on Amazon.com or Good Reads. Reviews help the book to get noticed by other readers and helps it to become qualified for book promotion sites like BookBub.

As a launch competition, I am giving away five signed copies of the book. To win one of these fantastic prizes, all you have to do is to email me at mj@mjdees.com with the first word of Part Two of the book. The first five people to email me with the correct answer will win a signed copy each.

Also, don’t forget that tomorrow, Monday 13th August, I will be hosting a Q&A session on Facebook Live at 9pm GMT, 4pm EDT and 1pm PDT. Send any questions you might like me to answer via email at mj@mjdees.comvia Twitter, or leave a comment on my Facebook page.


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#76 Planning a Facebook Live Q&A Session


With the launch of WHEN THE WELL RUNS DRY only a day away, I am continuing to plan my launch timetable. One of the elements of my launch procedure is a live Q&A session on Facebook.

As this is my third novel, it is also my third live Q&A session. I happened to rewatch the initial portion of my first two attempts the other day and was horrified by how many ums and ers littered every single sentence. So that is my goal for this session is to speak a bit more fluently about my third novel or about whatever the public would like me to answer.

This latest live session will be on Monday 13th August 2018 on my Facebook page at 9pm GMT, 4pm EDT and 1pm PDT. If you have a question you would like to ask me, either about my current book or the previous two books, or even the next two books then send your question to me via email at mj@mjdees.comvia Twitter, or leave a comment on my Facebook page.

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